The peak of the ongoing third wave in the country could reach up to 8 lakh falls in a day – almost double the peak of the second wave – but the sharp rise in big cities like Mumbai or Delhi could stop very soon, perhaps by midway this month, said IIT Kanpur professor and mathematician Manindra Agrawal.
He said his forecast is based on current calculations which are preliminary in the absence of data for the entire country. “The third wave (for the country) is expected to peak early next month or even a little earlier. We are currently forecasting a wide range between four to eight lakh cases per day. The all-India curve has only just started to climb. It will be another month before it comes down. The third wave of the pandemic in India should be more or less over by mid-March, “said Agrawal.